I'll throw in a couple of tips to start with, that are really available for everyone, they aren't insider deals
1. Source country
good auctions (not all of which are on Sixbid) sometimes have one amazing bronze among 100 dross RR. Make sure to bid live, and go all-in. My experience is that
Italian and
Spanish competitive bidders wilt when prices move close to four figures, no matter how spectacular the coin. This is because such bidders have even better direct sources than I, are in it for the long term, and have little prospect of being able to sell up at a future time due to export controls. US and
north Europe bidders tend to be wary of going all out for the odd great coin at a venue they are unfamiliar with, where all the remaining material is dross. Just be brave and go for it. As an example my
Crawford 16 female
head bronze where the
lion faces LEFT is the only one known in private
hands, and is in great condition (
GVF). It was a public acquisition by me in a
San Marino sale for around €1k, against
Italian bidding. I can't imagine what estimate NAC might put on it if I wanted to sell. I'd have gone a lot higher if needed.
2. Be bold, and with
good reasoning, on making offers on overpriced retail pieces. Some dealers
still price at retail as if Goodman and
Russo and Gibboni and
Fallani and RBW were
still competing for bronzes. They aren't, and you can remind a dealer of this (gently). I recently took down a $1500 bronze for $900 making the case that it
had been on the shelf a long time, and if I wasn't
buying it, it would be there a lot longer. This was the head-left example of the Oppius
orichalcum dupondius. The only
auction record in the last 50 years were the two RBW coins each nicer but each fetched many multiples these numbers. Another example was the
bull head / prow
aes grave, which was auctioned with a spectacularly high reserve, appropriate to its great
quality,
rarity and mystery, but didn't sell. I made an after-auction offer that was combined with other pieces so the discount I was really asking for would be sort of hidden in the mix.
Generally my acquisition
success rate on such material is over 50%, against perhaps 15% in a normal US or
north Europe sale of EF
denarii. There is definitely a new wave of collectors in the market today, as someone has been paying
good enough prices for my and RBWs second hand bronzes. So long term prospects for really great material is sound. The new entrants don't however yet have the stomach to go 1k on a really great coin. But in comparison with Imperial or Greek bronzes, this remains a really inexpensive series. Just try getting a highest
quality highest
rarity Imperial or Greek bronze for $1k. No way. At the moment the great RR material is
still there for the taking. If you're the guy hesitating when bidding gets closer to four than three figures on a really nice coin, then I'm the guy always outbidding you. After all, these sort of sums would be considered routine for common EF
denarii, which as you say are easy to get.
I've probably a dozen other tips on getting publicly available material for
good enough prices, but I'll save the rest for a later time. Getting GEF well centred
denarii, and not paying NAC prices, is a different problem with a different suite of solutions. And then there are the swappitydoes that I referred to in my last reply. I've a couple of such long term prospects
still out there, on specific coin opportunities, waiting to hopefully take them in over time. Most are on a collector to collector basis, and that's why I like to attend
auctions live. When a collector has an immense
success, you can congratulate him or her, whilst also gently enquiring if they've now got a duplicate to dispose of.
It's all a lot of fun, but I don't want to leave the impression that its profitable. Coin collecting is a hobby that costs
money. Despite my hopes for the future of my current
collection, I've been losing shed-loads of
money on coins that I've been
selling in recent years. But in each such sale group, usually announced in the
Forum for-sale-elsewhere
thread, I'm diligent in highlighting those underpriced pieces that a really keen collector should be going for, whilst avoiding mentioning coins already close to a fully prices levels. So there are
plenty of tips out there. Whether anyone acts on them is a different matter.
PS: you need to learn to protect yourself from toolies, which are also endemic in source-country
auctions (
Munich tends to also count for me as source country). That's a different problem on which I've no advice to offer in this
thread, but it's discussed
plenty elsewhere. If you start to buy toolies you are doomed, its like a bad drug addiction, because every other bronze will start to seem over priced and crusty if you use the smoothness and pricing of toolies as the benchmark. Beware!
PPS: I'm unworried about sharing trade secrets from a coin collector perspective. Probably only one or two people are paying any attention anyway, and if that causes us to go
head to
head on some future opportunities, then we'll soon know, and implicit natural adjustments will swing into play so everyone doesn't end up in the poor-house.
PPPS: I'm of course also open to approaches in the swappitydo
field. You might have a second example of a great
rarity in silver due to an upgrade, and if your spare coin would improve my
collection (which you can see, its what this
thread is about) then who knows what I've got in the biscuit tin where I store all the great
rarities that are not in my main public trays:
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ahala_rome/sets/72157649770756181A
good swap is win-win. Both
collections are improved in their areas of relative weakness.