Obviously from the same mould. Not just the exact same design but the casting faults - where too much lead has run between the lines - are the same too.
That could be a bad sign, especially with the 25 year difference, in some items.
However, that might not be as strange as it sounds with lead items. I don't really know what those things are but I am very familiar with the so-called
Danubian rider lead
votive plaques. And in the case of the
Danubian rider plaques a great number are exact copies. They clearly came from few workshops and those shops in turn used a very limited number of master or "mother" items to make the moulds to carry out the casting. Thus it is not unusual to find genuine ancient items that are exact copies - the differences, like with your items, are in the subsequent damage to them. You can see this clearly in Ertl's corpus of the
votive plaques.
So your two items are clearly linked and I suspect not just by the same master or "mother" item but in fact by the same mould - hence the same imperfections. Whether that means both are ancient originals from the same mould, or one is a
modern forgery cast from a mould made from the ancient original, or even that both are modern copies from the same mould, I don't know.
From the photos the lead looks pretty
good but you can never be sure without handling them in person.
Shawn