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Author Topic: Euro strength concerns?  (Read 8673 times)

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Offline Will Hooton

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Euro strength concerns?
« on: March 05, 2008, 11:42:45 am »
The Euro is, as nearly everyone is aware of, enjoying a period of strength against the dollar. Is this a concern for US dealers or not really? Maybe increased business from Europe offsets the decreased value of the dollar?  And for European collectors; are you buying more and more coins from US dealers during this time, much in the same way Europeans are currently in a shopping craze in New York!!?

Offline Salem Alshdaifat

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2008, 11:57:27 am »
it is a big concern realy
I used to buy by American dollar and was proude to have it in my pocket, now days when you show the american dollar to even diggers you will see this face  >:(, befor we used to see this face   ;D, and funny thing is they aske you to pay in Euro not in Dollar, thank you Gorge W B  :(
and the american collectors are having hard time since the prices of ancient coins are going up, so it is better for us to sell to Europe and not in USA.

Offline Arminius

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2008, 12:04:07 pm »
Another effect: Now there is more (some say too much) material on the various European coin markets.
More availability, variety and fresh supplies.

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2008, 01:00:58 pm »
I have noticed over the last eighteen months or so a marked increase in the supply of certain coins (especially Roman Republican denarii) in continental European auctions (especially Switzerland, Germany, Italy, San Marino), and at the same time a corresponding decrease in the supply of these in American auctions. The thought has indeed crossed my mind that Americans wishing to dispose of their collections might now be turning increasingly to European auction houses because of the fall of the dollar versus the euro.

Offline Joe Sermarini

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2008, 01:48:55 pm »
Coins cost very little to ship, so it really is a worldwide market.  Or several worldwide markets based more on coin type and value, and venue than geography (eBay, online shops, coin shows, auctions and high-end auctions).  Even the coin shows and auctions are international because people travel for them.  The biggest impact in the drop in the dollars value is a dramatic increase in the amount coins cost in dollars.  There is a short term impact while coins originally purchased in dollars at much lower prices seem cheap in Euros but that will end soon.  Now is a good time for Europeans to shop in the U.S.  Prices will eventually rise to even the levels.  Equilibrium will return.  
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Offline Gilgamesh

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2008, 11:24:02 pm »
The Australian dollar, which a few years ago was worth only a glimpse at a dollar, is now close to parity. Doing well against the English pound too, though not as well. The Euro remains at around 60 per $.

So the problem of the strong Euro exists here too. I also find that postage costs from Europe are noticeably higher than US and UK.
Every day I know less and less about more and more. Soon I expect to know nothing about everything.

Offline wandigeaux (1940 - 2010)

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #6 on: March 07, 2008, 12:56:24 am »
What goes up must come down, and vice versa in the world of monetary exchange.  When I was writing book catalogues for a San Francisco art book dealer in the early '80's, poor Europeans would wander in every day and bemoan the fact that their francs, pounds, and deutche marks could not buy the dust on the books.  In February of 1984, or around there, the pound stood at $1.03 USD (very briefly).  In those halcyon days, I could go to London once or twice a year and return with shelves of renouned rarities in the fields in which I was knowledgeable (literature and popular genre fiction of the Victorian and Edwardian eras).  Sic transit gloria money!  George Spradling
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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #7 on: March 07, 2008, 02:57:57 am »
USA enjoyed  an almost unique opportunity to export  its own inflation  to other countries for some good 70-80 years or more. Now, 37 years  after US dollar  lost  its last backing, people are starting to realize that  USD is the same paper  as their  own  currency, which doesn't really worth anything at all.  Argentinians, Russians, South Africans and Birmanese will rush to the banks with their salaries  to buy dollars no more. That Era is gone forever.  Time, when USA could  get  20 ounces of gold,  2000 ounces of silver, 500 barrels of oil, 12000 pounds of coffee  with a wad of dollars which cost $3 to make, is gone, forever.
Now, all of those USD bank accounts overseas, USD cash  will be looking  for its original owner, and will  drive prices  to the sky.
Inability to export inflation+ old inflation coming back+ usual domestic inflation+ enormous debt+ ever-increasing energy prices  will tank US economy to the depths  it had never  been to before. What will mean US  depression and destruction of demand  ( seriously, where else you will meet grandmothers   buying 5-6 pairs of plastic Chinese shoes at $25-35 each  for newborns? )  to the World, I hope it is clear to everybody.

Offline slokind

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2008, 04:16:45 am »
I've been worrying about this for nearly 40 years.  Even more than in the 1920s the whole urbanized world is bound up in an inextricable mesh of credit and debt and demands for buying and selling.  The USA is far from guiltless, but others, each in each economy's own measure and in its own way, are also not guiltless.  It is true that Americans became accustomed to getting what they hadn't yet earned, and no amount of safeguards (and the Western world does have safeguards, in the wake of the famous Great Depression) can guarantee to protect us all if things tip too far.  Great sober diligence and sound economic thought and proper priorities are called for and genuinely diplomatic diplomacy on all sides, geared to the future, not to past agonies. 
For the last decade I have been astonished by how little we often learn from the coinage that we study.  That modern wealth is in many ways different from ancient wealth is not the point.  I won't say more, or someone might think me 'political', which, I assure you, I am not, though I am a child of that Great Depression, and nothing has ever been able to convince me that either individuals or societies can have things just because they want them: Wealth of Nations, like Nature, is not inherently fair.  Christians, among others, will point out that avarice is a mortal sin, a spiritual cancerPat L.
Please fell free to delete if too far off topic.

Offline Automan

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #9 on: March 07, 2008, 04:58:56 am »
One should realise that there are two important, interrelated issues here: (1) the strength of the US dollar vs. other currencies (based on the strength of the US economy, partly expressed in terms of interest rates and demand) and (2) the relative importance of the United States for the world economy. The importance of the US currency stems mainly and more directly from the latter, and less so the former. Since the size of the US economy is rapidly decreasing in relation to the whole world economy (since the latter is growing faster), we might expect that the importance of the US dollar will also decrease over time, relatively independently of short-term exchange rate fluctuations.

It will be very interesting to follow the development of the US economy in the next, couple of years and the consequences for the US currency. Since GWB came to power there have been large tax cuts in combination with increased government spending, leading to under-balanced budgets and rapibly increasing national debt. Over the short term this boosted the US economy. For practical reasons a reversal in policy will become increasingly necessary, regardless of who wins the next election. If this reversal (i.e. increased taxes and less borrowing) coincides with a more drastic general downturn in the US economy than what we have seen so far, the effects will soon spread to the rest of the world. Firstly, we might see even more weakening of the US dollars, and then a reversal as the Eurozone is hit by a strong recession. At the very least, exchange rates should fluctuate quite a bit over time, depending on when US policy shifts. (This is absolutely, 100% NOT a political statement. It is my analysis of the current situation and I am not commenting on the wisdom of past and future decisions by US politicians. I am just saying it will be interesting to see what happens, from a purely academic point of view!!!)

To return to the original topic, though, since I am selling off what remains of my collection by consigning it to Forum, the current exchange rate is terrible for me. This is expecially the case since the coins were mostly bought for dollars that were 20-30% more expensive. There are serious deals to be made for non-US buyers!

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Offline Potator II

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #10 on: March 07, 2008, 04:16:35 pm »
Hi,

As european, I find very tempting to buy from dealers selling in USD. A 1000 $ coin will cost me 680 € or so including shipping, where the same would have been 1150 € five years ago.

Thus, I browse Forum catalog and [REMOVED BY ADMIN] almost everyday...

Regards
Potator

Offline DruMAX

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #11 on: March 07, 2008, 10:17:25 pm »
will tank US economy to the depths  it had never  been to before.

Someone has never heard of the great depression :) Not the best grasp of economics me thinks. I wonder how many people then looked back on the prosperous times and said 'That Era is gone forever.' Iw ould say its very foolish to ever say 'never again'. Speaking from an american oil industry (service and development) point of view...life is good. We have never been as busy and profits this year were up 300% with worldwide growth ;) There will be plenty of chinese baby shoes for jr. this year!!

I just try not to buy in pounds these days...I go to england a lot on business and have watched the exchange rate slowly going up and up...I still buy from European shops.

Offline slokind

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #12 on: March 07, 2008, 10:48:24 pm »
To Potator II: But I remember when the shoe was on the other foot, and the Europpean families I talked to on trains had to work two jobs or double shifts and make all sorts of economies in, e.g., children's clothes, when I, even as a poor graduate student back home, could buy things that they couldn't.  And I remember some of my friends (we don't all think alike, and William Buckley had lots of liberal friends, too) when the euro was launched snorting and guffawing and saying that in two years it wouldn't be worth 50¢.  I was ashamed for their being so ungentlemanly.  I just wish the currencies could hover around par: things work best that way.
To DruMax: Money, world wide, is in a dangerous state.  I just heard an economist explaining in some detail that the money world is awash, so to speak, in flowing cash that they need to invest in whatever is most necessary, and THAT is the principal reason that no matter how much is pumped, no matter how much is conserved, etc., the price of oil cannot revert to what we once thought reasonable (about $20/gal. for sweet crude).  Inflation as such would only bring it now up to maybe $60 or $70, not $106 (today).  It can revert, but some considerable pain may be concomitant.
And then I look at late Roman coinage, and I sit and wonder just what was happening; perhaps it wasn't just all those legions.  And they did have investment banking--just not as we have.  These things bear thinking about.  Band-aids (sticking plaster) never really work, and sophisticated accounting (finagling) doesn't ever work for long.
The oil-and-related run up can burst just as real estate can.  It can become an international house of cards.  It cannot be good for Singapore, for example, that the huge multi-nationals might collapse.
There is no room for anyone to either boast or get frantic, no game or trick that isn't too dangerous.  What is in the best interests of others really is in one's own best interest, too.  That's not socialism, that's pragmatic.

Offline DruMAX

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #13 on: March 08, 2008, 12:43:48 am »
Certainly not boasting. Simply stating the facts as they stand today. My company is one of the leading manufacturers of offshore and deepwater drilling equipment. Oil, like the economy, goes in cycles. There was a time when a gallon of gas was less than a buck, there was also a time in America when there were lines around the corner for gas and it just couldn't be had. So many people are stort sighted and do not remember that we have been here before, sad part is, we did not fix it the first time thus we find ourselves there again.

The oil industry goes in phases where there is no drilling and then it goes into drilling phases when the powers that be realize the supply must catch up to demand...these cycles often last a decade. When the industry is in a drilling phase, obviously, my company does well, when there is a lack of new drilling, we hurt. Luckily my company also manufactures for other industries (yes, the US manufactures) so we are able to cope without the same lay-offs that other companies suffer. People complain about oil companies when the price is high...they are happy when the price is low, they do not take into consideration the people who work for these companies and how we lose jobs in the lean times.

Nor do people realize the Herculean effort, the huge network of companies working together to put gas in their tanks, if they did, they would wonder why gas isn't more expensive. If there is inflation, it effects oil as well.

Oil companies need to meet the growing demand and are now tapping HUGE resources that have until now remain left untouched. Huge oil reserves off the coast of China (Bo Hai) are being tapped now, these reserves are enormous as well as new reserves offshore in deepwater that have remained untapped because of the sheer logistical problems that are related to drilling in such deepwater. New technology that my company and others have developed are now opening these reserves to us.

People complain about oil company profits but they simply don't realize how it works, the amount that these companies must invest simply to tap a new well, especially in deepwater. These wells that help remove us from opec. A company like, say, Shell oil must invest billions with the hopes that the wells they develop will make the investment worth it. They watch the oil COE's bank accounts and cry foul forgetting that EVERY CEO makes huge amounts of money and that what a company like Shell Oil makes trickles down to the hundreds of companies it employs to Drill, manufacture, transport, service, etc...all around the world, not just american companies. It is truly a worldwide business.

They must spend, sometimes 10 years, developing the well, paying companies like mine to develop tools for each well, most wells have unique requirements. They must pay us for our time, engineering expertise, the raw materials, the tooling. They must buy wellheads, liner hangers, trees (be they subsea or surface), gate valves, adjustment subs, mudline suspension equipment, tubing, connectors, control systems, safety systems, etc...etc...They must pay service companies, they must pay manufacturers, scouting, research.

Then they must spend the money, often times a million dollars a day or more to operate a platform offshore, the logistics of transporting and refining. Lets not even mention what one must spend to placate the government and people to operate in many places. Before a well even draws a drop of oil an oil company heavy player is often out billions from their own pockets. Then they must get that oil to your gas tank at a reasonable price (less than a gallon of water at times or a meal at McDonalds).

It is no wonder they often prefer to lean on those nations that already have the infrastructure and already accept our presence and doesn't have a population looking to kidnap the Americans (or western business men be they from Scotland or Norway, both big players...americans are not the only target, just the favorite). My company operates in some of the most hostile places, in fact we operate in most oil producing nations from the north sea to Nigeria.

Then of course much of the worlds oil is bought and sold on the open market, futures and such. These investors are only too happy to buy huge reserves and sit on them until they can create a crisis and hike prices even more before they release the reserves. These are, by far, not just Americans but investors from Russia and all over the world. The price going down is not acceptable to profiteers. Then of course you have to pay every middle man...it reminds me of why coins are so expensive...middlemen...people just wanting to make that extra dollar.

Then of course lets not forget that more than half of the price of a tank of gas is tax.

Buying from established producers isn't much better...the oil company buys each barrel at a set price. Once the profiteers and middle men have taken their cut all along the way, the price is tripled.

There is enough oil to meet demand and there are new sources being found and tapped, the high prices are artificial, caused by politics and middlemen, when oil is a commodity traded like stocks, like stocks, the price will never go down until there is a collapse.

As for the dollar and currency WORLD WIDE. The problems we face are due to the fiat system and fractional banking. In the US this is the FED (which is made up of wealthy bankers from not just the US but Germany, Britain, and China) and following the US lead, all the worlds economy is fiat. Artificially propped up 'because we say so.' Before modern fiat currency, the only time the world saw fiat was during emergencies such as the type seen during post WWI Germany (I collect hyper inflation currency and study the causes)

If any nation believes that they are secure in such a system and that this will only effect the US they are sadly mistaken.

I believe the only way to cure the constant world wide inflation (and what might become the US hyperinflation) is to stabilize and control a world wide banking system which is out of control. It is not the amount of money one makes but what the money buys.

If people are wondering what fractional banking is, almost all of us have been a part of it. It is when banks are able to create money without the government. When a bank gives a loan or issues credit, they are creating money and releasing it into the economy. As we all know, the more money created, the less that money is worth in the long run until it is worth just a fraction of what it should be worth in a healthy economy. The incorrect way of addressing the problem is to release more money (which is what the US is doing as fed banks create digital money outside the realm of congress) or making higher denominations, both were tried in Germany with disastrous effects and the US seems to be repeating this. Germany had to suffer a disastrous collapse before their money could be stabilized again with the rentenmark.

The US, for more than 50 years has been slowly feeding inflation with fiat FED junk money and incompetent economic policy that allows a free for all money creation scheme.

THINK ABOUT IT. At one time in America, you could by a meal for one silver dime, for a silver quarter you could buy a meal, a movie, and some drinks. Now that silver dime is worth far more than a dime, the value of that silver dime can still buy a meal....but it takes far more junk bills to buy the same things. Silver and Gold still has purchasing power that has remained roughly steady (or risen) save for the Hunt brothers affair. This is why they dont want you to have silver and gold as money, they instead keep it as a specialty, a commodity item they can sell to you, not as money. By they I mean the FED and the few people at the head of the worldwide banks that control our economy...

That is why I keep a large amount of my money in hard Gold and Silver. By doing this...I have made far more money than I would investing in the stock market or gaining the pittance of interest banks might give. In fact with gold prices...my gold is now worth far far more than it was when I bought it  :)

I have a feeling that the US and world economic systems are beyond the comprehension of a lot of people and they do not realize that under the fiat system controlled by the fed our money has been taken out of the hands of the government are in the hands of foreign and domestic banks run by old money, these peoples wealth is not dependant on the fiat money and electronic  junk created by their own banks push on us. The 'I hate america and relish seeing them fall' mentality I see is politically motivated and will bite them in the rear, they are simply playing the game they have been taught to play. People all around the world who know do not hate america, they have helped america grow as they profit as well. Until we wise up and break from the FED banks and other nations that hold our debt and establish a true economic system again, we will continue to see inflation and soon might even see denominations like the bill pictured below.

The only people in Germany who survived with their money in tact were those who escaped the fiat system and did not have their wealth in the Reichsbank. Unfortunately today, all the worlds economy operates on the fiat system and when a superpower stumbles, all the world will feel it in the end as there are few alternative to fiat today.

I have never had a negative attitude towards the rest of the word, I have enjoyed traveling all through Europe, Asia, South America, Africa and the Middle East and have always had a high opinion of the people I meet for the most part. There has always been those Americans who are antagonistic towards the rest of the world, those are often people who just dont understand the world and are locked in their own little world where America is the greatest. I see the antagonism towards America from the other side as the same small mindedness. I see the antagonism online, not face to face...they are not brave enough for that when I am in their country doing business that helps us both and those people I deal with are people who understand the world economy and profit from their relationship with america :). I have friends all over the world that do not take joy in seeing America falter any more than I take joy in the problems people face in Russia, eastern Europe, Africa, or the like...its just stupidity and politics, the bane of the world IMO. I remember visiting Rome and paying 50,000 Lira to rent a scooter!! Those who make money realize that cooperation is the key in a worldwide economy and when one of us hurts, it hurts us all in the end.

Sorry so wordy :)



Offline Potator II

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #14 on: March 08, 2008, 02:14:13 am »
To Potator II: But I remember when the shoe was on the other foot, and the Europpean families I talked to on trains had to work two jobs or double shifts and make all sorts of economies in, e.g., children's clothes, when I, even as a poor graduate student back home, could buy things that they couldn't.  And I remember some of my friends (we don't all think alike, and William Buckley had lots of liberal friends, too) when the euro was launched snorting and guffawing and saying that in two years it wouldn't be worth 50¢.  I was ashamed for their being so ungentlemanly.  I just wish the currencies could hover around par: things work best that way.

Sorry Pat, wanting to be simple, I must have been simplist.

You are right, of course. But the point of view from an individual can be different than it is from a country or a continent. Nowadays if "we" want to sell an Airbus, it will be 50 % more expensive than a Boeing, where it has been the contrary some years ago, and it will change again. My meaning was just the one of the individual and the "effet d'aubaine" that gives todays rate. I think too, that the two currencies should stay somewhere around par. It would be fair both ways.

Bonne journee
Potator

Offline Bacchus

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #15 on: March 08, 2008, 03:32:07 am »

Before modern fiat currency, the only time the world saw fiat was during emergencies such as the type seen during post WWI Germany (I collect hyper inflation currency and study the causes)


Hi,

I'm pretty sure that the Song Dynasty (960–1279), created vast "unsupported" legal tender paper money, certified as good throughout their empire, as a way of centralizing financial control through a fait system - however it collapsed due to forgery.

And as for oil prices - we now have the joy of paying £1.08 per litre for unleaded (unless you can nip across the border and get some of that cheap Euro stuff   ;D )



Malcolm

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #16 on: March 08, 2008, 04:04:22 am »
will tank US economy to the depths  it had never  been to before.

Someone has never heard of the great depression :) Not the best grasp of economics me thinks.

well I am very glad for you if you think the great depression is the worst plight  people had ever seen. You must be a very happy man, congratulations. For the future, please remember that argumentum ad  hominem  is usually a  mentally-poor man's refuge.

Offline Numerianus

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #17 on: March 08, 2008, 05:16:23 am »
No doubts, USA is the world leader, economically and politically.
In the global economy American leaving standards
are landmarks throughout the world.  Serious economists claim
that the price of labor should be uniform throghout the world.
In the equilibrium there is no reason why a worker living
in North America or in Europe should be paid 10 more as, for the same efforts
as a Chinese worker. Usually, the difference is explained by the infrastructure
but is under a construction. Sovereign funds accumulated trillions of dollars
(dollars and not euros and this might explain that dollar is on harder pressure)
and they are looking through the world to find a good business to invest.
Suppose that a Chinese fund buys Boeing or Airbus Industries.
Of course, the assembling will be delocalized  to the place with a cheaper labor.
This will be a move to the equilibrium. Note that the poplation of China+India+SEA is
10 larger than the population of the US, the labor force is willing and qualified. 

By the way, not all economists consider the oil as just an ordinary commodity. In fact, it is
an exhaustive resource. Fortunately, not all governments understand this and this is the reason
why oil is still very cheap. A few years ago the president of Venezuela declared
that the fair price of the oil should be $100 per barrel. He was considered as crazy.
Now we almost  reached this level ($106 but for cheaper dollar). I remember   my
discussion with a guy from Carnegie-Mellon : we had a consensus that the fair price
should be rather  $200. 
 

Offline commodus

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #18 on: March 08, 2008, 04:52:52 pm »
The Great Depression is, historically, the worst economic plight the U.S. has seen; it is fallacious to argue otherwise. It is also unreasonably alarmist to assume that we are approaching a repeat of it or worse merely because the dollar is at a low against the euro and other currencies. I clearly recall when the dollar was much weaker in comparison with the pound than today (this was, of course, well before the advent of the euro).
Eric Brock (1966 - 2011)

Offline slokind

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #19 on: March 08, 2008, 07:42:15 pm »
Sorry to have brought it up; never meant to assail the petrochemical industry; sorry if my reading has misled me, but I thought that other markets were direly afflicted by our 1930s Depression; thought I had mentioned 'safeguards' instituted since then; have wondered whether post-IT intricacies of money transfer and trading on the fly and of accounting couldn't be complicating things.  I hope for the best, but I believe nothing, really: neither the optimists nor the doom-sayers.  Pat L.

P.S. My account with Blackwell's went back to $2.80 = £1, so that one got Historia Numorum, a brand-new copy of the last printing, for 8 Gns. or about $21; need I add that those were other dollars, when the U.S. minimum wage was $1.40/hour, and the 2nd ed. of GCV from Seaby's cost, as I recall, 8/6d.  That isn't the sort of thing I had in mind.
The reason I felt so guilty about my buying power in the 1950s was that I couldn't share it with others who were just as deserving as I was; I had to wait 8 years before I got overseas to see museums and Greece, but I was lucky at that.  My cities had not been bombed or our libraries burned.  Real destruction is very different from newsreels of it.

Offline ROMA

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #20 on: March 09, 2008, 07:09:05 am »
Our government and our people need to just get back to the basics, stuff we should know by now. All this lending, irresponsible borrowing, deficit spending, it's hard to watch. We hear so much about the so called "mortgage meltdown" here in the US but it has a lot more to do with people buying houses they couldn't afford in the first place then being misled by lenders. Way too much credit spending going on!
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Offline commodus

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #21 on: March 09, 2008, 01:48:34 pm »
Roma, you really hit the nail on the head there.
I would term the present situation more a correction than a recession.
Eric Brock (1966 - 2011)

Offline silvernut

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #22 on: March 09, 2008, 02:17:34 pm »
Not to discuss world geopolitics and macroeconomy, I'll go back to the original purpose of the thread (me thinks... ;)). As a European, the way I see it is that I'm not only buying Roman coins from US dealers: I'm also buying US Dollars. I'm convinced some day the USD will be back to par with Euro (whether next year or in 20 years) and whoever owns my collection by then will be able to dispose of it at an extra profit... With two daughters and a mortgage, one has to think of these things, also!

Regards,
Ignasi

Vladimir

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #23 on: March 09, 2008, 06:59:24 pm »
Quote from: commodus on March 08, 2008, 04:52:52 pm
The Great Depression is, historically, the worst economic plight the U.S. has seen; it is fallacious to argue otherwise. It is also unreasonably alarmist to assume that we are approaching a repeat of it or worse merely because the dollar is at a low against the euro and other currencies. I clearly recall when the dollar was much weaker in comparison with the pound than today (this was, of course, well before the advent of the euro).

I haven't said that  GP wasn't the worst economic plight of US nor that a major  depression  is due because of the dollar lows against all major currencies; simplistically saying there is a first time for everything, I hope everyone will agree with this.
Other than that, I'm left  in a deep envy to your optimism and I want   to thank everyone who buys or holds USD .

Heraclius

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Re: Euro strength concerns?
« Reply #24 on: March 15, 2008, 04:35:45 pm »
Now may not be the time to buy U.S. dollars, with both oil and the euro setting record highs over the past few days, but it would also be a mistake to be overly bearish on the U.S. economy. True, we have to get our fiscal house in order, and we may have to contend with higher energy prices for the foreseeable future due to rising global demand. But a strength of the U.S. economy is its flexibility, which allows for the creation of new jobs and entirely new industries. U.S. markets are the largest and most liquid in the world, which makes them attractive to investors and will over time attract new capital.

The day may come when the dollar is no longer the benchmark currency for global markets, but that day is not here yet....

 

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